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Lecture Topic: Probability
Experiment: An act where the outcome is subject to uncertainty
Sample space: The set of all possible outcomes of an experiment
Example:
- Flip a coin: $S = \{H, T\}$
- Throw a dice: $S = \{1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6\}$
Events: An event is a collection (subset) of outcomes contained in the sample space S
$$
S =
\begin{Bmatrix}
1,1 & 1,2 & 1,3 & 1,4 & 1,5 & 1,6 \\
2,1 & 2,2 & 2,3 & 2,4 & 2,5 & 2,6 \\
3,1 & 3,2 & 3,3 & 3,4 & 3,5 & 3,6 \\
4,1 & 4,2 & 4,3 & 4,4 & 4,5 & 4,6 \\
5,1 & 5,2 & 5,3 & 5,4 & 5,5 & 5,6 \\
6,1 & 6,2 & 6,3 & 6,4 & 6,5 & 6,6
\end{Bmatrix}
$$
A = First and second elements are the same
$A = \{(1,1) \ (2,2) \ (3,3) \ (4,4) \ (5,5) \ (6,6)\}$
Union: Union of two events, A and B, ($A \cup B$)
Compliment: The compliment of an event A, is the set of all outcomes in S that are not in A
Mutually Exclusive Events: When and B have no common outcomes, they are said to be mutually exclusive or disjoint events, i.e. $P=(A \cap B) = 0$
Axiom:
1. For event A, P(A) >= 0
2. P(S) = 1
3. (Need to look at slides to correct)
(a) If $A_1, A_2 ... A_k$ is a finite collection of mutually exclusive events then: $$P(A_1 \cup A_2 \cup ... \cup A_k) = \sum^{\infty}_{i=1} P(A_i) $$
(b) If $A_1, A_2 ... A_k$ is a finite collection of mutually exclusive events then: $$P(A_1 \cup A_2 \cup ... \cup A_k) = \sum^{\infty}_{i=1} P(A_i) $$
Proposition:
1. For event A, P(A) = 1 - P(A')
2. If and and B are mutually exclusive then $P(A \cap B) = 0$
Permutation: Any ordered sequence of k objects taken from a set of n distinct objects is called a permutation of size k of the objects. The number of permutations of size k that can be constructed from n objects is denoted by $P_{k,n}$ and calculated by:
$$
P_{k,n} = \frac{n!}{(n-k)!}
$$
Combination: Given a set of n, any unordered sub-set of k of the objects is called a combination. The set of combinations of size k that can be formed from n distinct objected will be denoted by $C_{k,n}$ and calculated by:
$$
C_{k,n} = \frac{n!}{k!(n-k)!} = \begin{pmatrix}n \\ k \end{pmatrix}
$$
(NEED TO REVIEW THIS)
Example: S = {1, 2, 3, 4, 5}
$A_1$ = {1,2,3}, $A_2$ = {2,3,5}, $A_3$ = {2,3,1}
Permutation:
5! = 120
(5-3)! = 2! = 2
120 / 2 = 60
Combination:
5!/2!3! = 60/6 = 10
0! = 1
5 out of 5
5!/(5-5)! = 120/1 = 120
Lecture Topic: Probability
Experiment: An act where the outcome is subject to uncertainty
Sample space: The set of all possible outcomes of an experiment
Example:
- Flip a coin: $S = \{H, T\}$
- Throw a dice: $S = \{1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6\}$
Events: An event is a collection (subset) of outcomes contained in the sample space S
$$
S =
\begin{Bmatrix}
1,1 & 1,2 & 1,3 & 1,4 & 1,5 & 1,6 \\
2,1 & 2,2 & 2,3 & 2,4 & 2,5 & 2,6 \\
3,1 & 3,2 & 3,3 & 3,4 & 3,5 & 3,6 \\
4,1 & 4,2 & 4,3 & 4,4 & 4,5 & 4,6 \\
5,1 & 5,2 & 5,3 & 5,4 & 5,5 & 5,6 \\
6,1 & 6,2 & 6,3 & 6,4 & 6,5 & 6,6
\end{Bmatrix}
$$
A = First and second elements are the same
$A = \{(1,1) \ (2,2) \ (3,3) \ (4,4) \ (5,5) \ (6,6)\}$
Union: Union of two events, A and B, ($A \cup B$)
Compliment: The compliment of an event A, is the set of all outcomes in S that are not in A
Mutually Exclusive Events: When and B have no common outcomes, they are said to be mutually exclusive or disjoint events, i.e. $P=(A \cap B) = 0$
Axiom:
1. For event A, P(A) >= 0
2. P(S) = 1
3. (Need to look at slides to correct)
(a) If $A_1, A_2 ... A_k$ is a finite collection of mutually exclusive events then: $$P(A_1 \cup A_2 \cup ... \cup A_k) = \sum^{\infty}_{i=1} P(A_i) $$
(b) If $A_1, A_2 ... A_k$ is a finite collection of mutually exclusive events then: $$P(A_1 \cup A_2 \cup ... \cup A_k) = \sum^{\infty}_{i=1} P(A_i) $$
Proposition:
1. For event A, P(A) = 1 - P(A')
2. If and and B are mutually exclusive then $P(A \cap B) = 0$
Permutation: Any ordered sequence of k objects taken from a set of n distinct objects is called a permutation of size k of the objects. The number of permutations of size k that can be constructed from n objects is denoted by $P_{k,n}$ and calculated by:
$$
P_{k,n} = \frac{n!}{(n-k)!}
$$
Combination: Given a set of n, any unordered sub-set of k of the objects is called a combination. The set of combinations of size k that can be formed from n distinct objected will be denoted by $C_{k,n}$ and calculated by:
$$
C_{k,n} = \frac{n!}{k!(n-k)!} = \begin{pmatrix}n \\ k \end{pmatrix}
$$
(NEED TO REVIEW THIS)
Example: S = {1, 2, 3, 4, 5}
$A_1$ = {1,2,3}, $A_2$ = {2,3,5}, $A_3$ = {2,3,1}
Permutation:
5! = 120
(5-3)! = 2! = 2
120 / 2 = 60
Combination:
5!/2!3! = 60/6 = 10
0! = 1
5 out of 5
5!/(5-5)! = 120/1 = 120

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Lecture Topic:
Lecture Topic:

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Lecture Topic: Conditional Probability
\| (vertical bar) = "given that"
e.g. P(A|B) = probability of A given that B
# Question 3
Lecture Topic: Conditional Probability
\| (vertical bar) = "given that"
e.g. P(A|B) = probability of A given that B
# Question 3

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Lecture Topic: Random Variable
Random Variable: Variable with a probability attributed to it
Regular Variable: Variable that is more intrinsic, like height
Discrete Variable: Variable where each possible value is a finite set or is an infinite set where each element is it's own distinct element, eg first element, second element etc.
Probability Mass Function (pmf): The pmf of a discrete rv is defined for every number x by p(x) = P(X=x)
Mass function criteria:
- All probabilities have to been between 0 and 1
- The total probabilities have to equal 1
Expected Value: The summation of the value and the probability of x over the entire set
Var?: Variance calculate the expected value but square the variable, then subtract the squared expected value
Lecture Topic: Random Variable
Random Variable: Variable with a probability attributed to it
Regular Variable: Variable that is more intrinsic, like height
Discrete Variable: Variable where each possible value is a finite set or is an infinite set where each element is it's own distinct element, eg first element, second element etc.
Probability Mass Function (pmf): The pmf of a discrete rv is defined for every number x by p(x) = P(X=x)
Mass function criteria:
- All probabilities have to been between 0 and 1
- The total probabilities have to equal 1
Expected Value: The summation of the value and the probability of x over the entire set
Var?: Variance calculate the expected value but square the variable, then subtract the squared expected value

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Lecture Topic: Binomial Distribution
# Requirements of Binomial Experiments
- (n) independent trials
- Possible outcomes: success (S) and failure (F)
- Success probability (p)
## Formula
The pmf of binomial rv $X$ depends on two parameters $n$ and $p$. We denote the pmf by $b(x; n,p)$
$$b(x;n,p) = \{
\begin{pmatrix}
n \\
p \\
\end{pmatrix}
p^x(1-p)^{n-x}
\}$$
$x = 0, 1, 2, ..., n$
If X ~ b(x; n,p), then
1. E(X) = np
2. V(X) = np(1-p)
# Examples
Lecture Topic: Binomial Distribution
# Requirements of Binomial Experiments
- (n) independent trials
- Possible outcomes: success (S) and failure (F)
- Success probability (p)
## Formula
The pmf of binomial rv $X$ depends on two parameters $n$ and $p$. We denote the pmf by $b(x; n,p)$
$$b(x;n,p) = \{
\begin{pmatrix}
n \\
p \\
\end{pmatrix}
p^x(1-p)^{n-x}
\}$$
$x = 0, 1, 2, ..., n$
If X ~ b(x; n,p), then
1. E(X) = np
2. V(X) = np(1-p)
# Examples
Examples in posted pdf

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Lecture Topic: Poisson
Was too interested in configuring neovim, lmao
Lecture Topic: Poisson
Was too interested in configuring neovim, lmao
Look at slides for info, this one seemed important

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Lecture Topic:
Lecture Topic:
Listened to lecturer and didn't take notes

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Lecture Topic: Continious r.v
Midterm Review session by math learning center
Midterm review will be on feb 16, friday
For evaluating the probability of a distribution of a continious random variable X, you need to integrate the probability
The probability of a function from - infinity to + infinity must equal 1
Lecture Topic: Continious r.v
Midterm Review session by math learning center
Midterm review will be on feb 16, friday
For evaluating the probability of a distribution of a continious random variable X, you need to integrate the probability
The probability of a function from - infinity to + infinity must equal 1

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Lecture Topic: Some Questions
Lecture will be short as lecturer needs to leave at 10:00
First thing to do is to convert x to Z, for solving a standard deviation problem
$$Z = \frac{x-\mu}{\delta}$$
Lecture Topic: Some Questions
Lecture will be short as lecturer needs to leave at 10:00
First thing to do is to convert x to Z, for solving a standard deviation problem
$$Z = \frac{x-\mu}{\delta}$$
Mean is 0 and variance is 1 is the conditions for normal distribution (?) Something standard deviation must be 1 (?) Look into

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Lecture Topic: Binomial Distribution
Lecture Topic: Binomial Distribution

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Lecture Topic: Midterm Review 1
Will be Wednesday, Feb 21, 2024
Covers Lectures 1-13, Chapters 1-3
All multiple choice, 18-20 Questions for 50 mins, 16-17 as it is 45 minutes
45 Minutes, Show up early
Choose closest answer if answer does not line up
YOU NEED A CALCULATOR FOR THIS
For your formula sheet, you can put anything on it, 1 regular size sheet (11x8.5), both sides are allowed to be written on.
Questions from base theorem will likely take longer than others, so look for questions that are easier to solve first
## Basic Statistics
Mean - $\frac{\sum x}{n}$
Median - Middle Most value, even is the average of two middle values
Mode - Most frequent value
Quartile
- Q1 - 25%, In between 0 and median
- Q2 = Median
- Q3 = 75% In Between median and 100
- Q4 = 100%
## Variance
IQR - Inter quartile range - Q3 - Q1
Variance
- $\frac{1}{n-1} \sum (x_i - x)^2$ or $\frac{\sum(x_i - x)^2}{n-1}$
- $\frac{1}{n-1} \sum (x_i^2) - nx^2$ Ask about this, didn't quite catch on board
- must be positive
std deviation - Square root of variance, $\sqrt{V(x)}$
Upper and lower fence - Outlier limits
- UF = Q3 + 15 IQR Ask about this, could have been 1 times 5, board was messy
- LF = Q1- 15 IQR Ask about this, could have been 1 times 5, board was messy
Z score - $\frac{x - \mu}{\sigma}$
Coefficient of variation / CV = $\frac{\mu}{\sigma} * 100$
Lecture Topic: Midterm Review 1
Will be Wednesday, Feb 21, 2024
Covers Lectures 1-13, Chapters 1-3
All multiple choice, 18-20 Questions for 50 mins, 16-17 as it is 45 minutes
45 Minutes, Show up early
Choose closest answer if answer does not line up
YOU NEED A CALCULATOR FOR THIS
For your formula sheet, you can put anything on it, 1 regular size sheet (11x8.5), both sides are allowed to be written on.
Questions from base theorem will likely take longer than others, so look for questions that are easier to solve first
## Basic Statistics
Mean - $\frac{\sum x}{n}$
Median - Middle Most value, even is the average of two middle values
Mode - Most frequent value
Quartile
- Q1 - 25%, In between 0 and median
- Q2 = Median
- Q3 = 75% In Between median and 100
- Q4 = 100%
## Variance
IQR - Inter quartile range - Q3 - Q1
Variance
- $\frac{1}{n-1} \sum (x_i - x)^2$ or $\frac{\sum(x_i - x)^2}{n-1}$
- $\frac{1}{n-1} \sum (x_i^2) - nx^2$ Ask about this, didn't quite catch on board
- must be positive
std deviation - Square root of variance, $\sqrt{V(x)}$
Upper and lower fence - Outlier limits
- UF = Q3 + 15 IQR Ask about this, could have been 1 times 5, board was messy
- LF = Q1- 15 IQR Ask about this, could have been 1 times 5, board was messy
Z score - $\frac{x - \mu}{\sigma}$
Coefficient of variation / CV = $\frac{\mu}{\sigma} * 100$
If sigma is not know, replace with S, sample standard deviation

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Lecture Topic: Exam Review 2
Lecture Topic: Exam Review 2
Things to study, distribution, total probability theory

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Exam Review:
Calculator Required
Formula Sheet, 1 page, 2 sided
Statistical Tables provided
Everything is multiple choice
Put scantron sheet in booklet when returning
Everything can be on the exam, including regression analysis
Class Wednesday is optional question session
36-40 Questions expected, stuff after confidence interval may have many multiple choice per question
When solving a normal distribution problem we convert X to Z
We do this by subtracting X by mu over sigma
Exam Review:
Calculator Required
Formula Sheet, 1 page, 2 sided
Statistical Tables provided
Everything is multiple choice
Put scantron sheet in booklet when returning
Everything can be on the exam, including regression analysis
Class Wednesday is optional question session
36-40 Questions expected, stuff after confidence interval may have many multiple choice per question
When solving a normal distribution problem we convert X to Z
We do this by subtracting X by mu over sigma
He basically just went over lecture slides again